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      Do baby boomers use more healthcare services than other generations? Longitudinal trajectories of physician service use across five birth cohorts

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          Abstract

          Objective

          In light of concerns for meeting the provision of healthcare services given the large numbers of ageing baby boomers, we compared the trajectories of primary care and specialist services use across the lifecourse of 5 birth cohorts and examined factors associated with birth cohort differences.

          Design

          Longitudinal panel.

          Setting

          Canadian National Population Health Survey (1994–2011).

          Population

          Sample of 10 186 individuals aged 20–69 years in 1994–1995 and who were from 5 birth cohorts: Generation X (Gen X; born: 1965–1974), Younger Baby Boomers (born: 1955–1964), Older Baby Boomers (born: 1945–1954), World War II (born: 1935–1944) and pre-World War II (born: 1925–1934).

          Main outcomes

          Use of primary care and specialist services.

          Results

          Although the overall pattern suggested less use of physician services by each successive recent cohort, this blinded differences in primary and specialist care use by cohort. Multilevel analyses comparing cohorts showed that Gen Xers and younger boomers, particularly those with multimorbidity, were less likely to use primary care than earlier cohorts. In contrast, specialist use was higher in recent cohorts, with Gen Xers having the highest specialist use. These increases were explained by the increasing levels of multimorbidity. Education, income, having a regular source of care, sedentary lifestyle and obesity were significantly associated with physician services use, but only partially contributed to cohort differences.

          Conclusions

          The findings suggest a shift from primary care to specialist care among recent cohorts, particularly for those with multimorbidity. This is of concern given policies to promote primary care services to prevent and manage chronic conditions. There is a need for policies to address important generational differences in healthcare preferences and the balance between primary and specialty care to ensure integration and coordination of healthcare delivery.

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          Most cited references39

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          Multimorbidity, health care utilization and costs in an elderly community-dwelling population: a claims data based observational study

          Background Chronic conditions and multimorbidity have become one of the main challenges in health care worldwide. However, data on the burden of multimorbidity are still scarce. The purpose of this study is to examine the association between multimorbidity and the health care utilization and costs in the Swiss community-dwelling population, taking into account several sociodemographic factors. Methods The study population consists of 229'493 individuals aged 65 or older who were insured in 2013 by the Helsana Group, the leading health insurer in Switzerland, covering all 26 Swiss cantons. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more chronic conditions of a list of 22 conditions that were identified using an updated measure of the Pharmacy-based Cost Group model. The number of consultations (total and divided by primary care physicians and specialists), the number of different physicians contacted, the type of physician contact (face-to-face, phone, and home visits), the number of hospitalisations and the length of stay were assessed separately for the multimorbid and non-multimorbid sample. The costs (total and divided by inpatient and outpatient costs) covered by the compulsory health insurance were calculated for both samples. Multiple linear regression modelling was conducted to adjust for influencing factors: age, sex, linguistic region, purchasing power, insurance plan, and nursing dependency. Results Prevalence of multimorbidity was 76.6%. The mean number of consultations per year was 15.7 in the multimorbid compared to 4.4 in the non-multimorbid sample. Total costs were 5.5 times higher in multimorbid patients. Each additional chronic condition was associated with an increase of 3.2 consultations and increased costs of 33%. Strong positive associations with utilization and costs were also found for nursing dependency. Multimorbid patients were 5.6 times more likely to be hospitalised. Furthermore, results revealed a significant age-gender interaction and a socioeconomic gradient. Conclusions Multimorbidity is associated with substantial higher health care utilization and costs in Switzerland. Quantified data on the current burden of multimorbidity are fundamental for the management of patients in health service delivery systems and for health care policy debates about resource allocation. Strategies for a better coordination of multimorbid patients are urgently needed. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12913-015-0698-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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            Societal and individual determinants of medical care utilization in the United States.

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              Mortality and morbidity trends: is there compression of morbidity?

              This paper reviews trends in mortality and morbidity to evaluate whether there has been a compression of morbidity. Review of recent research and analysis of recent data for the United States relating mortality change to the length of life without 1 of 4 major diseases or loss of mobility functioning. Mortality declines have slowed down in the United States in recent years, especially for women. The prevalence of disease has increased. Age-specific prevalence of a number of risk factors representing physiological status has stayed relatively constant; where risks decline, increased usage of effective drugs is responsible. Mobility functioning has deteriorated. Length of life with disease and mobility functioning loss has increased between 1998 and 2008. Empirical findings do not support recent compression of morbidity when morbidity is defined as major disease and mobility functioning loss.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                BMJ Open
                BMJ Open
                bmjopen
                bmjopen
                BMJ Open
                BMJ Publishing Group (BMA House, Tavistock Square, London, WC1H 9JR )
                2044-6055
                2016
                29 September 2016
                : 6
                : 9
                : e013276
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [2 ]Krembil Research Institute, University Health Network , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [3 ]Institute for Work and Health , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [4 ]Institute for Clinical Evaluative Science , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [5 ]Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of Toronto , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [6 ]Department of Family and Community Medicine, St. Michael's Hospital , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [7 ]Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                Author notes
                [Correspondence to ] Mayilee Canizares; mcanizar@ 123456uhnres.utoronto.ca
                Article
                bmjopen-2016-013276
                10.1136/bmjopen-2016-013276
                5051394
                27687902
                a9043b96-42a0-465e-800d-066521931df2
                Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/

                This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

                History
                : 30 June 2016
                : 22 August 2016
                : 26 August 2016
                Categories
                Health Services Research
                Research
                1506
                1704
                1696

                Medicine
                primary care,specialty care,birth cohort,baby boomers,multimorbidity
                Medicine
                primary care, specialty care, birth cohort, baby boomers, multimorbidity

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